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Importance: High
Navigating post-Trump volatility
• We are recording unprecedented divergences in falling equity vol with rising rates vol post Trump's win. Intra-
day S&P realized vol collapsed from near 60% to below 20% in 2d [Chart 1]
• While equities have shown less conviction over what a Trump win means (given strong sector rotation), the
bond market has sold off with one of the largest moves in history [Chart 2 & 3]
• Stabilizing rates volatility from here is key to markets remaining calm and while equity upside may continue, it is
Source: House Oversight Committee release, November 2025