April 9, 2012
Q&A on the USA, with a watchful eye on the risk of giant man-eating plants; Spain
Our view for 2012 was that economic and equity market conditions in the US and Asia ex-Japan would be better than in
Europe. So far, that view is on track. Spain in particular is in difficult shape (see page 5); its banks and government
may have to borrow 1.5 trillion Euros over the next 12 months while in recession. Both the ECB and EU will need to
keep the spigot open to prevent Spain from becoming a bigger problem. This week, some Q&A on the US recovery,
flows into bonds and stocks, profits and P/E multiples, municipal bonds, and the long-term US fiscal situation.
The Fed appears to be saying that no additional monetary easing is needed unless the economy worsens further. Are there any
Source: House Oversight Committee release, November 2025